TomBox Sports Betting Algorithm Picks For Tonight’s NCAA Tournament Action For Sunday 3/21/2021

March 21, 2021by Shlomo Sprung0
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TomBox Sports Betting Algorithm Picks For Tonight’s NCAA Tournament Action For Sunday 3/21/2021

TomBox Sports Betting Algorithm Picks For Tonight’s NCAA Tournament Action For Sunday 3/21/2021: Adam Flagler - Baylor Bears vs. Wisconsin Badgers

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After a whirlwind 31 games, with VCU’s game against Oregon declared a no-contest after the Rams had positive COVID tests, 32 teams remain in the NCAA Tournament, with the second round tipping off today and continuing to Monday.

We’ve had a slew of upsets, thrilling overtime games, and shocking finishes. And though you may be off work this Sunday, our TomBox AI algorithm is working overtime simulating each contest thousands of times to get you the most accurate predictions and projections. Our picks today definitely have a Lone Star feel to it, with Texas teams playing in half of the matchups. Onward!

Top Moneyline Picks

Rutgers Scarlet Knights @ Houston Cougars: Houston ML (-350)

The TomBox algorithm was very high on Clemson beating Rutgers on Friday and barely missed out after the Scarlet Knights escaped with a four-point win. But it's doubling down on Rutgers’ demise and backing the 2nd-seeded Cougars, who dominated Cleveland State. The Cougars are expected to hold Rutgers to 40.8% shooting while hitting 8.1 three-pointers to Rutgers’ 4.6. With the TomBox sports betting algorithm projecting a 69.5-58.5 win, Houston has an 80.6% chance of making the Sweet Sixteen.

Wisconsin Badgers @ Baylor Bears: Baylor ML (-286)

This is also about revenge for the TomBox algorithm after Wisconsin barely edged North Carolina on Friday. But the Baylor Bears are expected to continue the Big Ten’s woeful tournament to date by holding the Wisconsin Badgers to 39.9% shooting while winning the three-point battle 8.8-6.3. The TomBox algorithm projects the Bears to secure a 74.7-65.7 victory and avoid being the first one-seed to lose, with a 75.2% chance of winning.

Top Spread Picks

North Texas Mean Green @ Villanova Wildcats: North Texas +6.5 (-115)

After shocking Purdue in the first round, is Nova next? Not quite, according to the TomBox algorithm, but it’ll be close. Though the TomBox algorithm gives the Wildcats a 57.2% chance of winning, margins are gonna thin. The Mean Green will shoot 41.9% to Nova’s 43.3, commit 10.1 turnovers to their 6.4, and lose the rebounding battle 28.4-27. Jay Wright’s team will win 63.3-59.2, but the TomBox algorithm gives North Texas a 58.8% chance to cover the spread.

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Syracuse Orange @ West Virginia Mountaineers: Syracuse +3.5 (+105)

After playing suffocating defense in a convincing upset over San Diego State, the TomBox algorithm is basically calling Syracuse’s matchup against West Virginia a toss-up. West Virginia has a 52.4% chance to win on Sunday, with the Orange shooting 43.3% to the Mountaineers’ 43 and Syracuse committing 10.9 turnovers to their 11. Bob Huggins’ team will have an 8.2-6.9 edge in three-pointers. And that may be enough, with the TomBox algorithm projecting a 75.7-74.6 win. But it’s gonna be super close until the end and enough for Jim Boeheim’s team to cover, giving it a 57.4% chance of happening.

Top Over/Under Picks

North Texas Mean Green @ Villanova Wildcats: Under 127.5 (-112)

There are 357 Division I college hoops teams that played this season. According to KenPom’s adjusted tempo rating, North Texas ranks 351st in how quickly they play, and Villanova ranks 331st. If you want fast-paced action, this is not gonna be for you. The TomBox algorithm’s 63.3-59.2 projected score proves that, giving the game a 58% chance of going under.

Texas Tech Red Raiders @ Arkansas Razorbacks: Over 140.5 (-109)

Conversely, Arkansas is 17th in the country in tempo to Texas Tech’s 316th. It’s this battle of contrasting styles that will define this 2nd round matchup. The TomBox algorithm also calls this game a toss-up, with the Razorbacks given a 51.2% chance of winning. Arkansas should ensure that this game ends up in the 70s and not the 60s. Projected final score: Arkansas 72.4, Texas Tech 72.1.

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