TomBox Sports Betting Algorithm NCAA Basketball Picks For Thursday 3/4/2021

Things are starting to get more serious in college basketball than a morning of C-SPAN hearings, but thankfully without all the boring stuff!
Thursday is an unusually packed slate in this first week of March, with big conference battles like Michigan-Michigan State, Oklahoma State-Baylor, TCU-West Virginia, and Texas-Oklahoma but also some intriguing non-conference battles that are makeups from earlier in the season.
With all the turmoil in the college hoops world in the last four months, the one constant we can all truly rely on is our great TomBox AI sports betting algorithm. After a winning 3-2 night on Monday, it’s back to make you more of that good cash money leading into the weekend.
Top Moneyline Pick
UTEP Miners @ Kansas Jayhawks: Kansas ML (-1551)
Of all the great matchups tonight, this is probably one you can avoid...unless you have money on it. Which you should, because the TomBox algorithm gives the Jayhawks an 86.9% chance to win this game. We don’t expect the Miners to dig deep and pull off the upset, with Kansas winning our simulations by an average of 73.3-57.8.
Top Spread Picks
Nebraska Cornhuskers @ Iowa Hawkeyes: Nebraska +17.5 (-109)
Back on Monday, the TomBox algorithm not only picked the Huskers to cover at home against Rutgers. But Nebraska lit it up from three and dimmed the Scarlet Knights. Our fearless algorithm still gives Iowa an 82.4% chance to win the game outright, but only by an 81.3-67.2 count.
The TomBox algorithm gives Nebraska a 61.3% chance to cover the spread thanks to its three-point advantage, projected to hit 7.9 of them to the Hawkeyes’ 3.2.
Arizona State Sun Devils @ Colorado Buffaloes: Arizona State +10 (-105)
Can the mediocre Sun Devils hang in just enough in Boulder to cover? The TomBox sports betting algorithm says yes, giving ASU a 57.2% chance to cover the spread. Our algorithm still thinks CU has a nice, 69.3% chance to win with the moneyline, but only 75.3-67.8 based on hitting just 2.6 three-pointers to Arizona State’s 8.5.
Top Over/Under Picks
Iowa State Cyclones @ Texas Tech Red Raiders: Under 138 (-110)
Iowa State is almost as bad at basketball this year as COVID-19 has been for society. The Cyclones are 2-19 overall and 0-16 in Big 12 play. They’re 9-11 in over/unders this year, and their offensive ineptitude is gonna work in your favor tonight! The TomBox algorithm expects ISU to shoot 36.4% from the field and 28.5% from three and to lose 73.6-59. That total is comfortably less than 138, an under which we give a 58.4% chance of hitting.
UTEP Miners @ Kansas Jayhawks: Under 135.5 (-110)
UTEP is a solid 12-10 this season, but they’re 162nd in the country in KenPom’s offensive efficiency rankings while Kansas is 7th nationally in adjusted defense. It should come as no surprise that we’re projecting the Miners not to reach 60 here, with the TomBox algorithm giving this matchup a 58% chance of hitting the under here. The way the Jayhawks defend, it shouldn’t be a surprise that the under has hit in their games 14 of 24 times.