TomBox Sports Betting Algorithm NCAA Basketball Picks For Monday 3/8/2021
We’re now less than a week until Selection Sunday and the stakes are getting higher than Bill Walton on April 20th. Conference tournaments are in full swing, with two automatic bids up for grabs tonight and the top team in the nation looking to stay undefeated. As always, your friendly trustworthy TomBox AI algorithm is here to deliver Ws and money to your digital wallet in dollars, euros, bitcoin, Dogecoin, or whatever made-up currency you’re currently using.
Top Moneyline Pick
Gonzaga Bulldogs vs. Saint Mary’s Gaels: Gonzaga ML (-1600)
The nation’s top-ranked team is 24-0 going into tonight’s West Coast Conference semifinal, and it doesn’t look like the Zags are ready for their unbeaten run to end. The TomBox algorithm gives Mark Few’s team a 78.3% chance to advance, with a projected 76.5-61 score. Also, the Bulldogs are expecting to hold Saint Mary’s to 28% shooting from the field, living up to their 10th ranked KenPom defense.
Top Spread Picks
Milwaukee Panthers @ Cleveland State Vikings: Milwaukee +4 (-108)
The Cleveland State Vikings come into this Horizon League semifinal matchup 17-7 overall and 16-4 in the league, yet the TomBox algorithm only gives them a 51.4% chance to win the game against the Milwaukee Panthers. Why? UWM split a two-game road series at Cleveland in January and is projected to out-rebound the Vikings 36-23.1. With the Panthers only expected to lose 69.3-68.2, that falls within the four-point margin needed to cover and give your bank account brighter horizons (sorry).
Oral Roberts Golden Eagles @ South Dakota State Jackrabbits: South Dakota State -4 (-110)
Despite the Jackrabbits having a 66.9% chance of winning this game, per the TomBox algorithm, Oral Roberts doesn’t suck. The Golden Eagles are a solid 10-5 in the Summit League. And they are one win away from the climactic conference championship game. But shooting a projected 38.3% from the field won’t allow Oral Roberts to finish the job, with simulations showing a 78.6-71.6 defeat. But make the right bet, and Oral’s pain will be your gain.
Top Over/Under Picks
Oral Roberts Golden Eagles @ South Dakota State Jackrabbits: Under 162.5 (+100)
With a lot of turnovers expected and Oral Roberts’ low projected shooting percentage, our 150.2 projected total is a dirty dozen under the line. It’s why the TomBox algorithm is giving this game a 69.8% chance of hitting the under.
Appalachian State Mountaineers @ Georgia State Panthers: Under 136 (-108)
It certainly should come as no surprise that teams ranked 116th and 234th in the country in KenPom adjusted offense won’t be putting up many points. And with the Sun Belt Conference tournament title and an automatic NCAA bid on the line, the TomBox algorithm doesn’t expect many points in Pensacola. We’re projecting a 70.8-61.3 win for GSU, lower than the line to gain. So, we give the under a 57.8% chance of hitting here and helping you start the week off right with some Ws.
