MLB Best Bets For 7/29/2020
We started off the MLB Best Bets column strong on Monday by going 3-0-1, so today, I’ll look to keep things rolling during a busy slate in the majors Wednesday, with four more wagers that could prove to be profitable. All odds were obtained from the BetMGM Sportsbook.
The Yankees have been off the last two days after having their series against the Phillies postponed. The Phillies had just played the Marlins, who had an outbreak of COVID-19. With both the Phillies and Marlins still sidelined, the Yankees will now travel to Baltimore to take on the Orioles for the first of our best MLB bets today.
The Orioles have only played three games because they were scheduled to play the Marlins. They actually won two of those contests against the Red Sox, twice holding them under 5 runs. However, the Yankees could be set up to score in bunches here with Asher Wojciechowski set to take the mound. He started 16 of his 17 appearances last season, posting a 4.92 ERA and a 5.30 FIP. Concerning for this matchup is that he also allowed 1.9 HR/9. With the Yankees lineup loaded with power hitters, I like their chances of hitting the over.
The Twins have arguably the most potent lineup in baseball. They were already extremely productive last season and only strengthened their squad by adding Josh Donaldson at third base. They’ve scored at least six runs in three of their first four games, twice scoring at least 10 runs. They are set up nicely to keep things rolling against the Cardinals, who just lost Miles Mikolas (forearm) for the season. Taking his spot in the rotation will be Daniel Ponce de Leon, who has a 3.97 FIP across 25 Major League appearances. Only 12 of those have been starts, so he’ll be faced with a tall order here.
We capitalized on the Brewers’ moneyline Monday in what was a 6-5 win over these same Pirates. The Pirates won the second game of their series Tuesday by a score of 8-6 after scoring six runs in the seventh and eighth innings combined. The Brewers have a favorable opportunity to bounce back here with their ace Brandon Woodruff on the mound. He was excellent across 22 starts last year, posting a 3.62 ERA and an even better 3.01 FIP. He also missed a lot of bats with a 29-percent strikeout rate. Taking the mound for the Pirates will be Joe Musgrove, who has never finished with an ERA below 4.96 in his career.
It’s also worth noting that the Pirates have used their closer, Nick Burdi, two times over the last three days. He was limited to just 8 2/3 innings last time because of injury, so it would seem unlikely that he will be available for this matchup. The Pirates' bullpen could really be in rough shape with Keone Kela (undisclosed) and Kyle Crick (shoulder) also out. Look for the Brewers to earn a win here.
The odds on this aren’t great, but the fact that the best hitter in baseball only needs to get one hit for this wager to cash is incredibly enticing. Yes, Trout is off to a slow start after hitting 4-for-19 across the first five games. However, he did register at least one hit in three of those contests. He has a great matchup here against Justin Dunn, who has only pitched 6 2/3 career innings above Double-A. The Mariners’ pitching staff has been bad, in general, out of the gate with a combined 1.76 WHIP. That’s the worst mark in the Majors.