Smart Money MLB Picks For Tuesday 4/6/2021


Baltimore Orioles @ New York Yankees: Yankees Over 4.5 Runs (-150)
The Yankees dominated in the series opener Monday, winning 7-0 thanks to a grand slam from Giancarlo Stanton. This came on the heels of a fairly quiet series against the Blue Jays in which they only scored eight runs across three games. However, they still have one of the most dangerous lineups in baseball and are mostly healthy right now, outside of the absence of Luke Voit (knee). Pitching for the Orioles in the second game of this series will be Dean Kremer, who made his big-league debut in 2020, posting a 4.82 ERA and a 1.45 WHIP across 18 2/3 innings. He had mostly pitched in the lower levels of the minors before then, logging just a total of 19 1/3 innings at Triple-A in 2019. He didn’t exactly pitch well there, either, posting an 8.84 ERA and a 1.76 WHIP. The New York Yankees could hang another crooked number here against the Baltimore Orioles.
Pittsburgh Pirates @ Cincinnati Reds: Reds Over 4.5 Runs (-125)
The Reds are swinging hot bats out of the gate, having scored at least five runs in all four of their games. They even scored at least nine runs twice, including a 12-1 drubbing of the Cardinals. They’ve been powered by Nick Castellanos, who is 8-for-15 with three home runs, one double, and one triple. The Pirates are in the early stages of a rebuilding process, leaving them with a very underwhelming starting rotation. They will start Trevor Cahill in this game, who actually had a 3.24 ERA with the Giants last season, although his FIP wasn’t as good at 4.19. The problem is that he was a late signing in Spring Training. So he likely won’t be able to pitch deep into this contest. Factoring in the Pirates’ underwhelming bullpen, look for the Reds to continue their hot hitting.Arizona Diamondbacks @ Colorado Rockies: Rockies Over 5.5 Runs (+112)
The Rockies dealt away Nolan Arenado during the offseason, dealing a massive blow to their lineup. They do still have a few excellent hitters, though, including Trevor Story and Charlie Blackmon. They also signed C.J. Cron, who provides plenty of power at first base. Further helping their cause is that they will play their home games within the friendly hitting confines of Coors Field. Despite having to face the Dodgers in their first series at home, they still scored at least five runs in three of the four games. Now they'll face the underwhelming Luke Weaver, who allowed 1.7 HR/9 last season on his way to a 6.58 ERA. Let’s take a chance on a wager with plus odds to start things off.