Smart Money MLB Picks For Monday 5/3/2021

May 3, 2021by Lobo Grande0
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Smart Money MLB Picks For Monday 5/3/2021

Smart Money MLB Picks For Monday 5/3/2021: Walker Buehler - Los Angeles Dodgers @ Chicago Cubs

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Los Angeles Dodgers @ Chicago Cubs: Dodgers -1.5 (-107)

The Los Angeles Dodgers head to Chicago to take on the Cubs on a rainy Monday here in Chicago. (As of this writing, the game still appears to be on. And looking at the forecast, it should stay that way, but Mother Nature can be unpredictable as we all know.)

The Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Kyle Hendricks

The Dodgers come into this series in the midst of a skid, dropping 10 of their last 14, including three out of four in their most recent series against Milwaukee. They bounced back nicely yesterday, annihilating the Brewers 16-4, and they’ll look to keep that momentum going against Kyle Hendricks tonight. Hendricks hasn’t been his usual reliable self to start this young season. He’s 1-3 with a nasty-looking 7.54 ERA. And he got hammered in his most recent start against Atlanta, giving up seven earned in just 4.2 IP. Unfortunately for Hendricks, he’s going up against a loaded Dodgers lineup that has fared well against him in the past. With the Dodgers officially dropping to second in the NL West standings over the weekend, they’ll be coming into this series looking to rebound at the expense of the 12-16 Cubs.

The Chicago Cubs vs. Walker Buehler

On the bump tonight for the Dodgers is Walker Buehler, who is off to a nice start this season despite giving up five earned in his last outing. Cubs batters have struggled against Beuhler in a decent sample size, going 9-46, good for just a .196 average combined. If the Dodgers come into this one hungry and jump on Hendricks like I expect them to, I think the Cubs will have a difficult time clawing their way back in. The Cubs are on a nice little skid themselves, winning just two of their last nine and losing to the Reds in heartbreaking fashion yesterday. I’m going with the champs in this matchup and feel comfortable giving the 1.5 runs at -107. I’ll be throwing the -182 moneyline into a few parlays as well.

The Pick: Dodgers -1.5 (-107)

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Tampa Bay Rays @ Los Angeles Angels: Under 8 (+100)

We have a fun pitching matchup tonight out in Los Angeles with Tyler Glasnow going head-to-head with Shohei Ohtani. Glasnow has been excellent this season, boasting a 1.67 ERA through six starts and racking up double-digit Ks in three of those. Ohtani, turning more heads for his bat than his arm this season, is no slouch on the mound either and has an ERA of 3.29 through 14.2 innings this season. I’m rolling with the under in this one for a few reasons. First, the Rays are having trouble scoring. Their games have gone under in seven out of their last nine, and during that span, they’ve only reached the five-run mark twice. Their offense is certainly capable of putting up runs, but sometimes in baseball, it’s best to just ride what’s been happening lately. On the other side of things, the Angels are going up against the buzzsaw that is Glasnow. The Angels have some pop and have a core of the order that isn’t fun to mess with. But I’ll opt for the pitcher in this one. In a limited sample size, the Angels are just 5-27 (.185) against Glasnow collectively. While rooting for a game to go under may not be the most exciting way to end a Monday night, I suggest just sitting back, relaxing, and enjoying the work of a Cy Young candidate and one of the most unique and exciting baseball players we’ve ever seen.

The Pick: Under 8 (+100)

Bonus Pick:

Justin Turner, Tyler O’Neill, and José Ramírez to record 2+ hits (+2350)

Turner career vs. Hendricks – 4-11 (.364) O’Neill – 2+ hits in his last three games, four of his last five Ramírez – 2+ hits in two of his last three, three of his last five

Lobo’s Season Record: 0-4

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