TomBox Sports Betting Algorithm MLB Picks For Friday 4/16/2021

April 16, 2021by Shlomo Sprung0
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TomBox Sports Betting Algorithm MLB Picks For Friday 4/16/2021

TomBox Sports Betting Algorithm MLB Picks For Friday 4/16/2021: Frankie Montas - Oakland Athletics vs. Detroit Tigers

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TomBox MLB Season Record: 4-5

It was a tough one for TomBox earlier this week, but the best thing about baseball is there’s always action the next day to dust yourself off and try again, as the great Aaliyah once said. It’s Friday night, which means we have a pretty full slate of MLB games to choose from. And since our TomBox AI algorithm already simulated each contest 10,000 times, we have a pretty good idea of what’s likely going to happen. Let’s get to the picks!

Best Moneyline Pick

Detroit Tigers @ Oakland Athletics: Oakland ML (-185)

Despite Detroit taking two of three in Houston this week, the TomBox algorithm likes surging Oakland, which is on an AL-best five-game winning streak. Oakland Athletics starter Frankie Montas has a very strong 51% chance of having a quality start tonight, as opposed to Detroit Tigers starter José Ureña's 35% chance. Led by a projected 2.61 walks, hits, and RBIs from Mark Canha, we project Oakland to take a 5-3.8 win. Our model gives a 64.7% chance of an A’s win. William Hill RF500 - 728x90

Best Spread Pick

San Francisco Giants @ Miami Marlins: Miami +1.5 (-145)

Despite barely anyone knowing who Miami starter Dan Castano is, he's still projected to fare better than San Francisco's Anthony DeSclafani with a 38% chance of having a quality start in his 2021 debut compared to DeSclafani's 31%. Though the Giants are still going to win, our model shows a narrow 4.6-4.4 win, easily giving the Marlins the home cover.

Best Over/Under Pick

Arizona Diamondbacks @ Washington Nationals: Under 8.5 (-115)

With Max Scherzer on the mound at home for the Nats, you can expect runs to be at a premium. This will be especially true with promising righty Taylor Widener on the hill for Arizona. Mad Max’s quality start chances are at 53%, which will be enough to keep this game at a 4.2-3.7 Washington win, narrowly clearing the under. PointsBet - Deposit Bonus Up to $250

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