TomBox Sports Betting Algorithm MLB Picks For Thursday 4/29/2021

April 29, 2021by Shlomo Sprung0
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TomBox Sports Betting Algorithm MLB Picks For Thursday 4/29/2021

TomBox Sports Betting Algorithm MLB Picks For Thursday 4/29/2021: Adbert Alzolay - Chicago Cubs @ Atlanta Braves

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MLB Season Record: 12-9

Sure, you may be glued to the NFL Draft tonight. But with 17 minutes in between each pick, that leaves you plenty of time to multi-task. Instead of listening to talking heads drone on for most of the night, why not make money instead? With several night games on Thursday, baseball provides the perfect distraction while waiting for the picks to be announced. And our TomBox AI algorithm is perfectly suited to help you profit on the MLB, simulating each game 10,000 times for the most educated predictions and projections on what’s gonna go down on the diamond.

Top Moneyline Pick

Colorado Rockies @ Arizona Diamondbacks: Arizona ML (-135)

After trading their best player in Nolan Arenado for two ham sandwiches and a six-pack of Coors Light, it’s not exactly surprising that the Rockies have the NL’s worst record. We expect that record to get even worse on Thursday. The TomBox algorithm projects that Colorado starter Antonio Senzatela has a paltry 23% chance of having a quality start tonight. Meanwhile, we project Arizona’s Luke Weaver to have a 43% chance. Led by a standout performance from Ketel Marte, who is expected to have 3.03 hits, walks, and RBIs, the Diamondbacks are slated to win 5.3-3.9 per our model. We’ve giving the Snakes a 67% chance of winning. William Hill RF500 - 728x90

Top Spread Pick

Chicago Cubs @ Atlanta Braves: Chicago +1.5 (-165)

Hopefully, the Cubs won’t need to have Anthony Rizzo pitch tonight after striking out Freddie Freeman in Wednesday’s blowout defeat. The TomBox algorithm expects neither starter to pitch well with the Chicago Cubs' Adbert Alzolay and the Atlanta Braves' Bryse Wilson both having a 27% quality start chance. But despite being 2-7 on the road this season, the Cubbies are expected to pull this one out 5.4-4.8. So we project that Chicago has a 67.9% chance to cover.

Top Over/Under Pick

Los Angeles Dodgers @ Milwaukee Brewers: Over 7.5 (-113)

With Trevor Bauer facing Eric Lauer, the TomBox algorithm expects runs to be scored despite the pitching power. The TomBox algorithm is rather sour on Bauer, giving the defending NL Cy Young Award champ just a 39% chance of having a quality start, compared to 36% from Lauer. With the Dodgers expected to win on the road in the season opener 4.9-4.3, that’s plenty over the 7.5 needed to profit off this bet. PointsBet - Deposit Bonus Up to $250

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