NBA Player Prop Bets For 3/4/2020
Wednesday brings a packed slate in the NBA consisting of nine games. Injuries will once again play a key role in deciding several matchups. Some teams might also be limited because they will be playing the second game of a back-to-back set. Keeping all of that in mind, I’ve located four NBA player prop bets that could prove to be profitable. All odds were obtained from the BetMGM Sportsbook:
Dallas Mavericks vs. New Orleans Pelicans: Kristaps Porziņģis Over 34.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists (-121)
For the first of our NBA prop bets, the Mavericks have been cautious with Porziņģis this season, often sitting him out for one game of a back-to-back set. They did just that Monday against the Bulls, so he’s fresh heading into this matchup against the Pelicans. The Pelicans, on the other hand, could have some tired legs after playing an up-tempo contest against the Timberwolves on Tuesday.
Porziņģis has proven to be an excellent running mate to go alongside Luka Dončić. He has averaged 19.2 points and 9.4 rebounds a game for the season. He's been even better lately with averages of 27.3 points, 10.9 rebounds, and 2.3 assists across his last 11 contests. Regarding this total, he has registered at least 35 combined points, rebounds, and assists eight times during that stretch. With the Pelicans playing at the third-fastest pace in the league, I like Porziņģis’ chances of topping that threshold again.
Minnesota Timberwolves @ Chicago Bulls: Juan "Juancho" Hernangómez Over 21.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists (-137)
Hernangómez hit for us Tuesday when his combined number was 20.5. We didn’t really have to sweat it, either, considering he finished with 16 points, eight rebounds, and two assists. He logged 34 minutes in that contest and has now averaged 29 minutes a night since being dealt to the Timberwolves.
Even though this is the second game of a back-to-back set, there is no concern that Hernangómez will see a decrease in playing time. He didn’t play much when he was on the Nuggets, so he hasn’t undergone much wear and tear over the course of the season. The Timberwolves also don’t have much of a choice but to play him a lot, given their limited options. He’s registered at least 22 combined points, rebounds, and assists in six of the last eight games, so give me the over here.
Like Hernangómez, Beasley found himself buried on the bench during his time with the Nuggets this season. He’s shown potential when given extended playing time, so the writing was on the wall that he could break out after being dealt to the Timberwolves and assuming their starting shooting guard job. Their up-tempo pace, combined with his added playing time, has enabled him to average 21.1 points, 5.2 rebounds, and 2.3 assists across 10 games.
Beasley’s lofty scoring average has received some aid from his lethal shooting from behind the arc. He has averaged 3.9 three-pointers on nine attempts per game. Regarding this prop, he has drilled at least three triples in eight of his 10 games with the Timberwolves. The Bulls are still missing their best perimeter defender in Kris Dunn (knee). So look for Beasley to continue his prowess from behind the arc.
The Nets pulled off an improbable comeback on the road against the Celtics on Tuesday, winning in overtime on the strength of Caris LeVert’s 51 points. Dinwiddie had a rare off night, scoring 14 points to go along with four assists across 23 minutes. If there's a bright side, it’s that his limited playing time in that contest will likely help his cause Wednesday.
With Kyrie Irving (shoulder) out, Dinwiddie is not only going to play a lot, but he’s going to be tasked with running the Nets’ offense. That has enabled him to record at least seven assists in eight of their last 10 games. He has even averaged 8.8 assists during that 10-game stretch. The Grizzlies have played at the seventh-fastest pace and allowed the 10th-most assists per game in the league, potentially setting up Dinwiddie with an excellent opportunity to hit the over in the final one of our NBA prop bets.
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