TomBox Sports Betting Algorithm NBA Picks For Tuesday 2/23/2021

February 23, 2021by Shlomo Sprung0
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TomBox Sports Betting Algorithm NBA Picks For Tuesday 2/23/2021

TomBox Sports Betting Algorithm NBA Picks For Tuesday 2/23/2021: Damian Lillard vs. Nikola Jokić & Jamal Murray - Portland Trail Blazers @ Denver Nuggets

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The NBA All-Star reserves are being revealed tonight. And most of the narrative will be about who deserved to get into a game that shouldn’t be happening anyway and who were the snubs who get to stay home and spend a week relaxing with their families.

Beyond this sideshow, there’s a really good slate of games tonight including the Sixers against the red-hot Raptors, Steph Curry visiting Madison Square Garden, Boston taking on Dallas, and the featured TNT game of Damian Lillard and the Portland Trail Blazers taking on Nikola Jokić and the Denver Nuggets. The matchup between Portland and Denver will feature in tonight’s player prop picks.

Tonight’s Best Player Props

Portland Trail Blazers @ Denver Nuggets: Nikola Jokić Over 25.5 Points (-120)

With supporting players like Michael Porter Jr. struggling, the Joker has had to take on more of the load this season. And the TomBox sports betting algorithm expects him to do the same tonight. We’re projecting a 31.2-point night on 57% shooting from the field, comfortably over the 25.5 he needs.

Portland Trail Blazers @ Denver Nuggets: Damian Lillard Under 44.5 Points/Rebounds/Assists (-103)

The TomBox algorithm predicts Dame to excel on primetime with 29.6 points, 8.2 assists, and 4.5 rebounds. But that’s just under what he’d need to hit the over on his totals. This isn’t as safe as the Jokić prop, but worth pursuing with Lillard not expected to rebound the ball enough to reach this goal.

Tonight’s Best Moneyline Pick

Washington Wizards @ Los Angeles Clippers: Los Angeles ML (-750)

There’s certainly a reason why the Clips are favored this damn much. Washington is on a five-game winning streak but is coming off a long overtime game last night against the Lakers. The TomBox algorithm estimates that L.A. has an 83.6% chance to win this game, by a score of 127-112.5. We expect Kawhi Leonard to lead the win with 27.3 points and 6.6 rebounds.

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Tonight’s Best Spread Pick

New York Knicks vs. Golden State Warriors: New York +3 (+105)

With fans allowed at MSG for the first time this year, there will be a palpable buzz surrounding the surprising Knicks, led by maybe, possibly All-Star Julius Randle. And not only does the TomBox algorithm give New York a 67.5% chance to cover here against Golden State, but it’s also giving the Knicks a 62.7% chance to win the game outright. We’re expecting a 109.8-106.8 New York win, led by 23.1 points and 10.1 rebounds from Randle.

Tonight’s Best Over/Under Pick

Atlanta Hawks @ Cleveland Cavaliers: Over 227.5 (-107)

The Hawks have hit the over in 20 of their 30 games this season. And the TomBox algorithm expects that to continue on Tuesday despite the Cavs being the least-efficient offense in the league. We’re giving this game a 61.5% chance of going over, with Atlanta comfortably winning 122.3-110.8 behind 31.2 points and 10 assists from Trae Young. The 233-point total is certainly above the 227.5-line to gain to win this wager.

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