TomBox Sports Betting Algorithm NBA Picks For Tuesday 3/12/2021

March 12, 2021by Shlomo Sprung0
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TomBox Sports Betting Algorithm NBA Picks For Tuesday 3/12/2021

TomBox Sports Betting Algorithm NBA Picks For Tuesday 3/12/2021: Ja Morant & Jonas Valančiūnas vs. Gary Harris & Nikola Jokić - Memphis Grizzlies vs. Denver Nuggets

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The second half of the NBA season was officially underway with a full slate on Thursday. And we wanna build on Zach Selwyn’s success with a special set of Friday night NBA TomBox picks.

Since we haven’t done this in over a week, our expert AI algorithm will pick the best bets for moneyline, spread, and over/under, as well as a pair of player props. Tonight’s feature game is the Lakers’ first of the 2nd half at home against Indiana on NBA TV. Let’s get it:

Player Prop Picks

Indiana Pacers @ Los Angeles Lakers: LeBron James Top Points Scorer (-225)

The TomBox algorithm expects LeBron to hit the under on all his counting stats, with 24.7 points, 8.1 assists, and 7.6 rebounds. In case you as a bettor think that those projections are too low, we’re giving you a safer recommendation. Since the TomBox algorithm doesn’t have any Pacers player hitting 20 points, a balanced Indiana attack should pave the way for "The King" to be the lead scorer with ease.

Indiana Pacers @ Los Angeles Lakers: Domantas Sabonis Under 20.5 Points (-105)

Remember that part like one sentence ago when we mentioned that the TomBox algorithm didn’t think any Indiana player would score 20 points? That includes the All-Star big man Sabonis, who we only think will put up 14.5 on Friday. Take the under and root for a lot of misses.

Top Moneyline Pick

Houston Rockets @ Utah Jazz: Utah ML (-2500)

The top record in the NBA against the losers of 14 in a row has the lines crazier than pre-COVID Black Friday at the mall. Minus 2,500 is really crazy, but there’s a reason why the Jazz have the best chance to win tonight according to the TomBox algorithm at 83.1%. Donovan Mitchell is projected to score 26.9 points with 4.7 assists in a 121.7-108.9 Utah victory.

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Top Spread Pick

Denver Nuggets @ Memphis Grizzlies: Memphis +3 (-110)

The TomBox algorithm actually gives the underdog Grizzlies a 56.8% chance to win this game outright, with Memphis shooting 52.6% to 48.6% from the Denver Nuggets in a 117-116 projected win. Of course, winning the game will enable Ja Morant & Co. to cover, with the Grizz getting a 61.9% chance to cover the spread. In addition, Morant is expected to score 22.2 points with 5.4 assists.

Top Over/Under Pick

Cleveland Cavaliers @ New Orleans Pelicans: Over 228 (+102)

After giving up 135 to Minnesota on Thursday, maybe the Pelicans can do better against the 28th-ranked offense in the league. But NOLA is 29th on defense and 8th on offense, which is a big reason why it’s hit the over in 26 of 37 games so far. With the TomBox algorithm projecting a 118.5-115.5 bounceback win for the Pels, we’re giving this game a 61% chance of hitting the over.

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