Zach to the Rack NBA Playoff Picks For Monday 5/24/2021
Zach’s Season Record: 97-82
I will get to 100 wins! I’ve been pushing my bets with back-to-back 2-2 nights to start the amazingly enthralling Play-In Tournament games – because all of these games have been TOUGH to call. I get the winner but lose the under, pick the over, and lose the spread. All of these games have been just… so disorienting that I feel like I’m seeing three rims out here. (Sorry, LeBron.)
Meanwhile, was there a better NBA game this season than that Knicks-Hawks opener? MY GOD! The Garden was back! New York came together, and I even met old-school rapper KID from Kid ‘n Play at Barney’s Beanery yesterday! (Go watch House Party kids… you’ll thank me.) Too bad Trae Young had a house party himself and silenced the garden like it was one of Jeffrey Epstein’s prison cell guards. What a game, and I can’t WAIT for the rest of this series.
Today’s match-ups are harder to decide between than LeBron’s new tequila brand or Kendall Jenner’s new tequila brand. (For the record, LeBron could have gone to get the Lou Williams chicken wings and STILL not seen a COVID-protocol related suspension – it’s the “LeBron rules.”) But, one thing is for sure – defense has returned in a big way in these playoffs.
I guess tonight I’ll just shoot for the middle rim.
Miami was looking like it was in the 2020 Bubble again when they lost by two to Giannis and the Buckaroos in overtime on Saturday. BUT, as much as I like Milwaukee, I am not convinced they can go up 2-0 tonight. Even Giannis sounded like my 97-year-old grandmother when he said he was “afraid of the Heat.” If the Milwaukee Bucks do win against the Miami Heat, it’ll be by 2 or 3 again. 4.5 seems like a large number. Be like Scarface and TAKE MIAMI.
Even though these teams went to OT last game, they only scored 216 points, which means this 222.5 number seems about as unlikely as Phil Mickelson winning the PGA Championship at age 50 yesterday. (God, I hope somebody bet big on that.) I’m going to say the defense will step up and take the under. I saw how many times Lopez tried to behead Jimmy Butler on Saturday…
For the first time since Jamal Murray tore his ACL, the Nuggets looked very beatable Saturday night. I know Carmelo Anthony went nuts, but Damian Lillard and CJ McCollum are just pure AVALANCHES. Which means they are Mile-High Killers. (Sorry, trying to create some fun new “NBA in Colorado” terms here – be thankful I didn’t make a John Denver joke.) I see Portland continuing this type of play throughout the series and showing why their guard play will be more valuable than Jokić’s impressive skill set. There were stretches in game one where nobody on Denver looked confident to take a shot.
Points-wise, 227 is gettable, but again, even though Portland put up 123 and won by 14, I think we see a little “altitude fatigue” in them and numbers go down a bit. Take the under and skip the LeBron tequila. Get some Cazadores and enjoy some NBA Playoff basketball…