The Biggest Super Bowl Prop Bet Wins of the Last 10 Years
February 03, 2021
It’s Prop Week here at The Odds Factory and we’re covering all you need to know for Sunday. Today, we’re breaking down some of the biggest Super Bowl prop bet wins in the last ten years, proving that if you can play them right, props are a one-way ticket to a massive payday.
Biggest Super Bowl Prop Bet Wins
Super Bowl 50: Denver Broncos vs. Carolina Panthers
Prop: Von Miller to win MVP
Odds: 60 to 1
Super Bowl 50 was the first time you could bet on who would win MVP (Vegas generally stayed away from this as the award is decided by a vote), and oh boy did the books get their ass handed to them. This line opened at an insane 60 to 1 and was eventually bet all the way down to 15 to 1 by kickoff. Just an absolute bloodbath. This was a very boring game that ended up only being interesting if you bet big on props. While Peyton Manning ended his career with a Super Bowl win, he looked downright horrible in this game and the Broncos’ offense set the record for the least total yards in a win with 194. Cam Newton wasn’t much better though, and Denver’s defense dominated the game, sacking him 7 times, 2.5 of which came from Miller which led to 2 fumbles. This one was child’s play. Dude was dominant.
Super Bowl XLVII: Denver Broncos vs. Seattle Seahawks
Prop: First Score will be a Safety
Odds: 50 to 1
Denver really makes Vegas pay sometimes. One of the craziest starts to the Super Bowl of all time came in 2014 when the first snap of the game flew over Peyton Manning’s head into the end zone. When Knowshon Moreno smartly kneeled on the ball for the safety, degenerates everywhere lost their goddamn minds at this 50 to 1 payout. Incredibly, one dude had placed a $500 bet on this prop before the game and made out with $25,000. Even crazier, the same guy had won $50k two years earlier betting on a safety being scored in the Patriots vs. Giants game. $75k in winning for two measly bets. That alone has convinced me to bet on a safety this year and hopefully get a head start on early retirement.
Super Bowl LIII: New England Patriots vs. Los Angeles Rams
Prop: Julian Edelman to win MVP
Odds: 40 to 1
This was a huge bet for sharps in 2019, who jumped all over this crazy 40 to 1 payout throughout the week and eventually drove the odds down to 20-1 by kickoff. This was easily one of the most boring games in recent history. But if you had money on Julian, you had to be on the edge of your seat the entire time. Sure, he had 10 catches for 141 yards, but Sony Michel scored the game’s only touchdown and ran for nearly 100 yards. And the defense held the Rams to just 3 points – the award really could’ve gone to anyone.
Super Bowl LII: New England Patriots vs. Philadelphia Eagles
Prop: Nick Foles to Score a Touchdown
Odds: 12 to 1
The Philly Special will go down as one of the most legendary plays in NFL history. Not only did it give Doug Pederson years of undeserved job security, but it also had massive gambling implications. Unsurprisingly, you couldn’t wager on Nick Foles catching a touchdown pass. But people who bet on Foles making his way into the end zone (most likely assuming a short run or QB sneak) won big in 2018. The unorthodox play also led to the creation of a new bet that we’re seeing this Super Bowl, which is over/under 2.5 players to attempt a pass. Anthony George covered this earlier in the week, but this is a great opportunity to get value in case of a trick play or injury to either Mahomes or Brady.
Super Bowl LI: New England Patriots vs. Atlanta Falcons
Prop: Game will go to Overtime
Odds: 10 to 1
As a lifelong Jets fan, I despise the Patriots. But even I have to admit that this was one of the best performances of all time. We’ll likely never see a comeback like this again, but we might see another overtime game soon. This is the only overtime game in Super Bowl history, which explains why the books are still offering 10 to 1 odds for overtime action in Super Bowl LV. As much as I hate watching the Pats win, at least seeing the books lose brought a smile to my face.