Smart Money NFL Week 3 Picks For 9/26/2021
|NE & NYJ Under 42
Anthony’s Season Record 4-2
Another profitable week is in the book. At first glance, this NFL slate looks a little weird. There are some huge spreads and some obvious trap spots. Luckily for you, I've scoured each game and plucked out picks that are going to continue putting cash in your pocket. Before we get into the picks, let's take a look at last week's results.
New England Patriots @ New York Jets: I continued to fade rookie quarterbacks, and it paid off. This game was gross. Mac Jones was sacked three times and threw for just 186 yards. James White did end up getting a decent amount of work as he led the Pats in targets, receptions, and yards. Zach Wilson looked like an overwhelmed 12-year-old out there. He was sacked four times and threw four picks, finishing with a passer rating of 37. Boy, the Jets look bad.
Buffalo Bills @ Miami Dolphins: The Dolphins were absolutely stampeded by Buffalo in this game. The Bills arrived in Florida ready to take out the prior week’s frustrations. They were dominating on both sides of the ball all game. Things took an even worse turn when Tua went down with a rib injury. Like I said, this line set at -3.5 was hilariously low. I hope you took this freebie and laughed all the way to the bank.
Cincinnati Bengals @ Chicago Bears: The good news is that I predicted the EXACT score of this game. The bad news – I had the teams reversed. Although I lost this one, this game could have gone either way. It was close throughout, and if it wasn't for Burrow throwing three picks, I'd be walking away 3-0. Without further ado, let’s get into this week’s picks.
Smart Money NFL Week 3 Picks For 9/26/2021
Both of these teams are coming off demoralizing losses. The New York Giants lose by a time-expiring field goal, and the Atlanta Falcons' hopes of a comeback are squashed by a fluke pick-six. Both teams faced a top-five defense last week and still managed to put up over 50 points combined. Danny Dimes is using his legs more, and the chemistry between him and the receivers is clearly improving. Barkley should be returning to full strength after being eased into action the last two weeks. The Falcons lost Julio Jones, but this offense still has dynamic players in Calvin Ridley and rookie Kyle Pitts.
Another reason why I like this over is that the Falcons don’t have a run game. They are currently employing a running back committee featuring Mike Davis and Cordarrelle Patterson – not the most imposing tandem. If the Atlanta Falcons want to win against the New York Giants, then they’ll have to go up-tempo and do it through the air. Final Score: 32-17, Falcons.
The Saints have had a polarizing start to the season so far. They crushed Aaron Rodgers and the Packers and lost to Sam Darnold and the Panthers. This week against New England is the perfect bounce-back week for Sean Payton and this offense. Alvin Kamara is the best pass-catching back in the league and can rip off 50-yard touchdowns at a moment’s notice. The Saints’ defense hasn’t looked as dominant as last year, but it’s still early. The Patriots’ identity is running the ball and making safe throws. That’s fine if you’re facing the Jets, but it won’t fly against the Saints. This defense is going to dial it up and force Mac Jones to turn it over. Winston better be hungry coming off that loss because he’s about to feast on a W. Final Score: 30-18, Saints.
This game is by far the game of the week. Both of these teams are off to a blazing start and couldn’t be more evenly matched. Both offenses have a ton of weapons, and their defenses rank among the best in the league. Stafford is a perfect fit for this high-powered offense, and he’s showing it every week.
I like taking the points with the Rams in this spot for a few reasons. The first reason being that Antonio Brown is most likely to sit this game out. I know…Tampa is loaded at wide receiver and Brown being out isn't a game-changer, but it’s still one less weapon the Rams have to worry about. The deciding factor for me is Aaron Donald and this defense. Everyone knows that the way to beat Brady is to put him under pressure and not allow him time to sit in the pocket. What better way to do this than with the best defensive lineman in the world? I’m going to enjoy watching Brady get crushed like an avocado. Does one crush an avocado? Either way, the Final Score: 31-27, Rams.
That’s it for this week's picks. If you can’t get enough or want more – follow me on Twitter at @ajgiii07. Or at the least follow the Bet-Tenders @bettenders. They’re giving out FREE picks all season long. Cheers.