Easy Money Thursday Night Football Picks For 10/7/2021
Action Jackson’s TNF Record: 3-5
Well, here we go again. This is now the third straight week that I’ve gone 1-1 on my TNF picks, winning the over/under bet and losing my spread pick. I just can’t figure it out. It’s very possible that I have been hexed by some sort of gambling demon that I’ve wronged in a past life who delights in seeing me take one step forward and one step backward every goddam week. There’s no other way to explain it.
Tonight, we’re looking to turn this bad boy around with what’s looking like the best Thursday night matchup of the year so far between the NFC West rivals the Los Angeles Rams (3-1) and the Seattle Seahawks (2-2.) The Seahawks are coming off a big win against the 49ers last week, as they held off rookie QB Trey Lance in his first significant pro time, while the Rams couldn’t slow down Kyler Murray and the Cardinals, falling 37-20 in Week 4.
Let’s get into tonight’s picks and make you people some money.
Easy Money Picks for Los Angeles Rams @ Seattle Seahawks
When Seattle Has the Ball
Unlike some of the Legion of Boom squads of years past, the 2021 team’s clear strength lies in their offense. Russell Wilson is having another solid start to the season, averaging nearly 300 yards of total offensive per game, to go along with 10 TDs through 4 games (9 passing, 1 on the ground). He’s spreading the ball around to his two top-tier receivers, DK Metcalf and Tyler Lockett, who each have 20 catches and 3 TDs so far. While the running game hasn’t been as dominant as in years past, Chris Carson is a proven back who’ll grind defenses down. Overall, the pieces are there, but the Seahawks haven’t been able to consistently put them together, ranking 18th in total offense so far this year.
They’re lining up against an LA defense that’s facing a similar issue – all the talent in the world, but nothing to show for it. Despite returning most starters from last year’s dominant defense, this year they’re ranked 27th in total defense and 25th against the pass. Jalen Ramsey is a lock to shut down the opponent’s top receiver every game, but outside of that, the secondary has looked weak and the pass rush has been unable to get to the QB. Can they put it together this week on short rest?
When Los Angeles Has the Ball
Through 4 games, the signing of Matthew Stafford has looked like an absolute steal, as his big arm and savvy veteran experience have unlocked yet another dimension of the Rams’ offense, which ranks 4th in passing and 6th in scoring across the entire league. With a receiving trio of Cooper Kupp, Robert Woods, and DeSean Jackson, along with the sure-handed Tyler Higbee at tight end, they are moving the ball at will through the air. Darrell Henderson and Sony Michel have led the run game as well, mixing power and pass-catching out of the backfield to keep defenses off balance.
They face a Seahawks defense that, to put it lightly, flat out sucks. Their defense has looked awful across the board, with their run defense ranking dead last in the NFL and their pass defense not looking much better. As a Jets fan, nothing makes me happier than seeing Jamal Adams suffer, so I can’t help but smile when I see Seattle ranked 31st in the league in total defense.
While Seattle is playing at home with their 12th man behind them, I just don’t see them taking down this Rams team. I’m expecting a big bounce-back game from the defense, and while Tyler Lockett may break off a few big plays with Ramsey shutting down Metcalf, it won’t be nearly enough. I can’t see the Seattle defense stopping Stafford and the Rams and am looking for Henderson to have a big game on the ground.
Look for a ton of points and for the Rams to pull away with this one in the third quarter.