Easy Money Thursday Night Football Picks For 9/16/2021
Action Jackson’s TNF Record: 0-2
Well, that sucked. No one likes to start the season off 0-2, especially someone like me (wildly insecure, pretty broke, prone to temper tantrums.) Truthfully, like the rest of America, I just did not see the Cowboys playing like an actual NFL team and definitely did not anticipate Dak Prescott throwing the ball 58 TIMES on an injured shoulder. Oh well. Onwards and upwards.
This week, we have an NFC East matchup featuring two of the most mediocre quarterbacks in NFL history – Daniel Jones and Tyler Heinicke. The only thing that will make this worth watching is by betting way too much money on it. And that’s exactly what we’re going to do.
Easy Money Picks For New York Giants @ Washington Football Team
40.5 points is one of the lower over/unders that you’ll see in any NFL game and for good reason – both of these offenses stink on ice.
When the Giants Have the Ball
It’s Year 3 of the Daniel Jones experience and outside of a few big games here and there, it’s been one long string of subpar performances and drive-killing turnovers. Through his first 27 starts, Jones has an incredible 40 turnovers, including 22 interceptions and 18 lost fumbles. Shockingly, it could be even worse, as he’s put the ball on the ground 30 times in his career and luckily had 12 recoveries. While he’s surrounded by solid talent at the receiver position, with offseason acquisition Kenny Golladay (4 catches for 64 yards last week) and sure-handed Sterling Shepard, I’ve lost all faith in him to put up points, especially with Saquon Barkley still looking like he’s not 100% healthy (26 yards on 10 carries in his first game back since tearing his ACL).
To make matters worse, they’re going up against one of the best defenses in the league tonight. Led by the fearsome Chase Young and a trio of dominant linemen in Daron Payne, Jonathan Allen, and Montez Sweat, the Washington front 7 is one of the most feared in the league and the backbone of their entire team. Last week, they were able to shut down the Chargers’ running game, but simply couldn’t get to the passer and create the sacks and turnovers that they’ve become accustomed to. I’m betting on that changing tonight, as they eat up the Giants’ weak offensive line and create problems for Jones all night long.
When Washington Has the Ball
Washington’s offense did not look very good in Week 1 against the Chargers, racking up a mere 261 yards of total offense and just one touchdown. Obviously, it doesn’t help that their starting quarterback, the strong-spermed wonder Ryan Fitzpatrick (the man has 7 children and still wants more), went down in the first quarter, sabotaging their entire game plan off the jump. While Tyler Heinicke, who became a bit of a cult hero for his performance in the playoffs against Tampa Bay, did a solid job filling in for Fitz last week and could have a decent season, it might be too much to ask him for him to get ready for this game during a short week.
With Heinicke being a massive question mark, look for them to lean hard on second-year back Antonio Gibson. Everyone’s favorite fantasy sleeper had a strong game versus the Los Angeles Chargers, carrying the offensive load with 20 carries and 5 receptions for 108 total yards and a touchdown. Expect him to be the focus again tonight, especially against a weak Giants defense that gave up over 165 yards on the ground to Denver last week.
Despite all I’ve been preaching about how shitty these offenses are, I still think 40.5 is way too low of a number to comfortably bet the under. While Heinickie is unproven, I think he has a few big plays in him, and expect Gibson and last year’s breakout star Terry McLaurin to create some magic tonight. Maybe I’m biased (I definitely am), but I also hate the Giants and think they deserve no happiness.
I’m taking Washington -3.5 and the over 40.5 to hit by the skin of its teeth.
comes from BetMGM and is the exact kind of prop that I jump all over. Say what you want about Daniel Jones, but throughout his career, the one thing he’s been able to lean on is his ability to run the ball. In last year’s playoff game, we saw the same out of Heinicke, who showcased his surprising mobility with a few gutsy runs in the second half.
I can’t see either of these guys lighting it up in the air tonight, but look for them to scamper away from pass rushes and pick up some first downs on designed runs as you laugh your way to the bank with +250 odds.
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Happy betting out there tonight. Stay safe and stay up on those bastards in Vegas.