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Easy Money Thursday Night Football Week 7 Picks For 10/21/2021

October 21, 2021by Action Jackson0
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Easy Money Thursday Night Football Week 7 Picks For 10/21/2021

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Easy Money Thursday Night Football Week 7 Picks For 10/21/2021: Courtland Sutton vs. Denzel Ward - Denver Broncos @ Cleveland Browns

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Action Jackson’s TNF Record: 5-7 

Another week, another heartbreaking 1-1 showing. Despite correctly picking the under in last week’s Tampa Bay versus Philadelphia matchup, I missed the TB -7 cover by 1 goddam point after the Eagles made a 2 point conversion late in the 4th. I can’t win, can I?  The nice part about gambling is that there is always another game to bet on. And this week is no different. The Denver Broncos and Cleveland Browns face off in a matchup between two desperate, reeling teams that need a win to keep their playoff hopes alive. There’s a ton of injuries, and I have no idea what to think of either team. So this should be a fun night.  Let’s get into the picks. 

Easy Money Picks for Denver Broncos @ Cleveland Browns

Denver Broncos @ Cleveland Browns: Denver +2.5 (-115); Over 41 (+100)

When Cleveland Has the Ball

The short week could not have come at a worse time for the Browns’ offense, who will definitely be missing Baker Mayfield and starting running backs Nick Chubb and Kareem Hunt, and potentially could be without receiver Odell Beckham Jr. and starting tackles Jack Conklin and Jedrick Wills Jr. (injury status remains uncertain for these three as of publication). And I’m supposed to make picks in all this madness.  Look, the Browns’ offense is very solid when healthy. Overall, they’re 9th in the league in scoring and yards, as their dominant running game is 1st in the league at 168 yards a game, and while Mayfield struggled the past few weeks, their passing game was still capable of big plays. Sure, Case Keenum is one of the better backup QBs in the league, but the obvious strength and identity of the team (their running game) will be missing without their top backs and pillars of their offensive line. Can they still do enough on the ground to help Keenum out, or will they have to rely on the pass and hope a makeshift offensive line holds off Von Miller and the Denver pass rush?  The one glimmer of hope for the Browns here is the return of Jarvis Landry, the glue of the receiving corps, who doctors have cleared to come off IR after his knee injury. Not to mention the fact that the Denver defense has looked soft in the past three games, allowing 400+ yards in 2 of 3 matchups and 28 points per game. If Cleveland has a shot of winning tonight, they’ll have to hope they can plug in a new running back and lean on the play-action passing game to Landry to milk the clock and eke out a win. Caesars Sportsbook RF5000 - 936x114

When Denver Has the Ball

The Broncos offense has lived and died this year by Teddy Bridgewater. When he looked fantastic in the first three games, they were unstoppable and undefeatable. When he was careless with the ball (like his four turnovers last game) or banged up (he exited Week 4 with a concussion), the offense has been unable to move the ball. Tonight should prove no different, as Bridgewater enters the game slightly hobbled, with an injury to his left foot and quadriceps that could impact his mobility and the team’s offensive game plan.  If Bridgewater is at full strength (or close to it) and patient with the ball, look for receiver Courtland Sutton (having a big year already with 471 yards, good for 6th in the league) and tight end Noah Fant to have big nights and help extend drives. But if he starts forcing throws or trying to do too much, Myles Garrett and the 2nd-ranked Cleveland defense are ready to pounce.

The Pick: Denver +2.5 (-115); Over 41 (+100)

I hate this pick, and I hate this game. Two desperate teams, playing on a short week with banged-up rosters and some tantalizing lines that I just can’t figure out – it’s a recipe for disaster.  Neither of these teams is particularly good right now. But Cleveland’s injuries in the running game are looking to be just too much to overcome. Case Keenum is fine, and I’d bet on him if either Chubbs or Hunt was healthy and the line was at least at half strength. That’s not the case though. While I think the Broncos basically stink, I see them doing just enough to cover, if not eke out a win With all the injuries, I don’t expect fireworks out of this game by any stretch of the imagination, but 41 points is absolutely nothing. This feels like one of those games where there’s a random special teams or defensive touchdown and at least one big play we never saw coming. I’m taking the over on this one and looking at a 24-20 type win from Denver. I’m hating every second of it though. PointsBet - Deposit Bonus Up to $250

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