Breaking Down the TomBox Algorithm’s Super Bowl LV Picks
February 04, 2021
/
0
This is it, people.
The biggest sports betting day of the year.
It’s Christmas, Easter, Thanksgiving, and Yom Kippur all put together.
As bettors and football fans, this is what we live for. It’s all building up to Sunday. So why not be as well-informed and in the know as possible when putting your hard-earned cash on the Super Bowl?
That’s where our AI-generated expert TomBox picks come in handy, to help you annihilate your bookie after the Chiefs-Bucs Super Bowl game and make sure that he’s homeless and completely destitute (make sure you send over a mask so he’s safe, though).
Here are some of the basic Super Bowl picks and some prop bets the TomBox algorithm is confident about, so the odds will forever be in your favor.
Moneyline: Kansas City Chiefs (-157)
The defending champion Chiefs are a solid favorite in this game at -157, and the TomBox algorithm thinks there’s a good reason for that. It has Kansas City as a 67% favorite to win the Super Bowl with a 67% chance to beat Tampa Bay moneyline. In betting, having an outcome happen in more than ⅔ of simulations is pretty surefire in our book. And TomBox gives KC a very strong chance of taking this game outright.Spread: Kansas City Chiefs -3 (-113)
Andy Reid’s Chiefs are three-point favorites at Tampa’s Raymond James Stadium, and TomBox expects there to be a pretty good chance they cover that spread on Sunday. We’re giving KC a 58.8% chance to beat the Bucs by at least three points. In 35.4% of simulations, the Bucs covered, while there was a three-point Chiefs win and a push in 5.4% of our projections. But a nearly 60% chance of something happening is a good bet in our book.Over/Under: 55.5 Points (-115/-106)
The TomBox algorithm is anticipating a 30.8-24.1 win for Kansas City, which would be just a shade UNDER the 55.5 or 56-point line set by most books right now. We’re not as confident in this pick as we are in the moneyline and the spread, but our simulations are showing the under in 54.8% of our AI simulations, as opposed to 45.2% over.
Prop Bets the TomBox Algorithm Loves
Clyde Edwards-Helaire OVER 30.5 Rushing Yards (+100)
BetMGM is giving both the over and the under for the rookie Chiefs running back to get this number at -112 and you need to jump on the over right now (but also read the rest of this after you place your bets). The TomBox algorithm expects Edwards-Helaire to rush for a really nice 69.1 yards, more than doubling the over/under. This should be a comfortable win for all involved.Tyreek Hill UNDER 92.5 Receiving Yards (+101)
The under on Kansas City’s top wide receiver on reaching this mark on BetMGM is +101, and even odds on this looks pretty good right here. The TomBox algorithm predicts that Hill will only record 61.9 yards receiving, falling well short of what he needs to go over.Tom Brady OVER 295.5 Passing Yards (-118)
You’re not gonna bet against Tom Brady in a Super Bowl prop bet on yards, are you? The Bucs are gonna put the ball in Brady’s hands (once again, no relation to our TomBox algorithm) to the tune of an estimated 315.2 yards, nearly 20 over our over/under here. Grab this at -112.Cameron Brate OVER 29.5 Receiving Yards (+105)
While Brady does love Gronk more than many love their own family, TomBox is projecting that Tampa Bay’s less famous tight end will record 48.2 receiving yards. Based on my math, that’s way over BetMGM’s 29.5-yard line and an easy win at -112.
