Breaking Down the TomBox Picks For Packers vs. Rams

January 13, 2021by Shlomo Sprung0
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Breaking Down the TomBox Picks For Packers vs. Rams

NFL Playoffs Divisional Round - Aaron Donald vs. Aaron Rodgers - Los Angeles Rams @ Green Bay Packers

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Not since Key & Peele’s substitute teacher sketch have Aarons been more in the spotlight than Saturday’s NFL Divisional Round matchup between Aaron Rodgers’ Green Bay Packers and Aaron Donald’s Los Angeles Rams.

And TomBox has this historic Aaron Battle fully covered with detailed projections and percentages.

Game Result

We’re most confident (61%) that the Packers will win this game (-333 moneyline). But we are 58% certain that the Rams cover 6.5 points at Lambeau Field. We project Packers running back Aaron Jones to rush for a solid 84 yards. And there's a 61% chance of having at least one TD on the ground.

Player Props

Assuming Jared Goff is good to go at QB for Los Angeles on Saturday, he averages 1.88 TD passes to 0.45 interceptions in the 39% of simulations where the Rams pull the upset over the NFC’s top seed, but 1.43 pass TD to 0.92 picks in losses. He’s also projected to throw for 307.8 yards in the contest. A lot could also hinge on running back Cam Akers. He averaged 63 rush yards and 0.62 TDs in wins and just 38 rush yards and 0.27 TDs in defeats.

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We project Rodgers to throw for 269.5 yards and two TDs to 0.6 interceptions. And top wide receiver Davante Adams is projected for 9.4 receptions, 121.9 yards, and a TD.

When it comes to turnovers, the Packers have a 70% chance to win the turnover battle against the Rams, with a positive turnover margin helping them win in 73% of our TomBox simulations.

For more TomBox projections and opportunities to win you money on sports gambling, check out The Odds Factory.

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